If you are a global macro trader you trade anything and everything as long as you can find an exploitable edge. The majority of your trades are across asset classes trading stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies. You are looking for uncorrelated returns from multiple asset classes.
They trade not only different asset classes but multiple strategies within each asset class. For instance in stocks they will trade outright long and short positions, merger arbitrage deals, asset class arbitrage where you trade the equity against debt, and even pairs trading. They do much of the same in commodities and currencies as well. Essentially they are looking for sources of return wherever they can find it.
Macro traders have one strategy that most traders never use and that is the currency markets. Long the playground of only banks, currency trading is now available to the masses and is getting better and better. One of the best strategies in currency trading is that of the carry trade.
To utilize the carry trade you go long a high yielding currency and go short the lower yielding currency. You can make money in one or two of two different ways. If the currencies remain flat you will earn the interest rate differential. You can also make money by being right on the directional part of the trade, that being if they move in your direction.
Using leverage you can really juice your returns in the carry trade. For instance if you are earning a three percent yield from the differential then you can earn thirty by being levered up ten times. If you lever up twenty times you will earn sixty percent. While these gains sound great they do come with great risk. You knew this couldn't be that easy.
Nope, simply put juicing things on the way up will kill you on the way down. If volatility is anything but low you will get killed with excessive leverage. Instead you need a good way to track volatility and measure when is a good and a bad time to be in the carry trade.
There are a gazillion ways to measure volatility but some of the best ones are by using an actual volatility index. We have the VIX on the SP500 which is a surprisingly good measure of financial volatility and is suitable for currencies as well. But these days we have some volatility indexes from many of the investment banks which make it far easier to measure currency volatility and back test ideas.
If you are global macro trader trading the currency carry trade then you need to be paying attention to volatility or eventually you will lose a lot of money. By focusing on the risk you will be in a far better position for the rewards. - 23309
They trade not only different asset classes but multiple strategies within each asset class. For instance in stocks they will trade outright long and short positions, merger arbitrage deals, asset class arbitrage where you trade the equity against debt, and even pairs trading. They do much of the same in commodities and currencies as well. Essentially they are looking for sources of return wherever they can find it.
Macro traders have one strategy that most traders never use and that is the currency markets. Long the playground of only banks, currency trading is now available to the masses and is getting better and better. One of the best strategies in currency trading is that of the carry trade.
To utilize the carry trade you go long a high yielding currency and go short the lower yielding currency. You can make money in one or two of two different ways. If the currencies remain flat you will earn the interest rate differential. You can also make money by being right on the directional part of the trade, that being if they move in your direction.
Using leverage you can really juice your returns in the carry trade. For instance if you are earning a three percent yield from the differential then you can earn thirty by being levered up ten times. If you lever up twenty times you will earn sixty percent. While these gains sound great they do come with great risk. You knew this couldn't be that easy.
Nope, simply put juicing things on the way up will kill you on the way down. If volatility is anything but low you will get killed with excessive leverage. Instead you need a good way to track volatility and measure when is a good and a bad time to be in the carry trade.
There are a gazillion ways to measure volatility but some of the best ones are by using an actual volatility index. We have the VIX on the SP500 which is a surprisingly good measure of financial volatility and is suitable for currencies as well. But these days we have some volatility indexes from many of the investment banks which make it far easier to measure currency volatility and back test ideas.
If you are global macro trader trading the currency carry trade then you need to be paying attention to volatility or eventually you will lose a lot of money. By focusing on the risk you will be in a far better position for the rewards. - 23309
About the Author:
If you need actionable trading ideas then check out The Macro Trader It is a weekly global macro trading advisory publication with frequent intra-week updates for time-critical analysis and actionable trading ideas.
