The rectangle can be traded very successfully on the long side entering the trade as the stock breaks out to the upside. The pattern forms when the two boundary lines that contain the price movement are parallel. The bottom line and the top line are both near to horizontal. Sometimes these may be called a channel or a consolidation, but the most famous version of this pattern was a variation by Nicolas Darvas, published in his book ?How I Made $2 million in the Stock Market?.
Rectangles, Breakout Unclear
Rectangles show no clear tendency to break up or down. Despite the fact 54% of the patterns break out to the upside this is likely due to the fact the market tends to move higher. Around half (56%) of these breakouts are profitable and on average the profit per trade is 1.15% over a period of 12 days.
Specific Setups to Improve Profitability
When you look at the performance of a rectangle the pattern works better when the market is rising. Trading rectangles when the market is in an up trend or consolidating improves your trading results. If the sector and the stock are consolidating or rising this also improves the performance of the pattern.
Rectangles are sensitive to the length of the pattern with breakouts that occur between 10 and 35 days, from the start of the pattern, performing the best. While the pattern breakout works best in the range specified, it is not important if the pattern breakout is early or late in the pattern.
If the volume is in support of the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way up is higher than the volume on the way down. The best results are achieved if the high is higher or equal before the breakout and do not trade patterns that are formed around an outside day candle.
Rectangles Can Be Very Profitable
By following these simple rules profitability of trading rectangles can be improved substantially. With an average return per trade of 1.89% in 13 days and an extremely high hit rate of 71% it is understandable why many traders are drawn to the rectangle.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23309
Rectangles, Breakout Unclear
Rectangles show no clear tendency to break up or down. Despite the fact 54% of the patterns break out to the upside this is likely due to the fact the market tends to move higher. Around half (56%) of these breakouts are profitable and on average the profit per trade is 1.15% over a period of 12 days.
Specific Setups to Improve Profitability
When you look at the performance of a rectangle the pattern works better when the market is rising. Trading rectangles when the market is in an up trend or consolidating improves your trading results. If the sector and the stock are consolidating or rising this also improves the performance of the pattern.
Rectangles are sensitive to the length of the pattern with breakouts that occur between 10 and 35 days, from the start of the pattern, performing the best. While the pattern breakout works best in the range specified, it is not important if the pattern breakout is early or late in the pattern.
If the volume is in support of the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way up is higher than the volume on the way down. The best results are achieved if the high is higher or equal before the breakout and do not trade patterns that are formed around an outside day candle.
Rectangles Can Be Very Profitable
By following these simple rules profitability of trading rectangles can be improved substantially. With an average return per trade of 1.89% in 13 days and an extremely high hit rate of 71% it is understandable why many traders are drawn to the rectangle.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23309
About the Author:
Jeff Cartridge has been trading CFDs since 2002 and created the website LearnCFDs.com Discover Patterns of Success
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