Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Does Your Trading System Have an Exit Strategy?

By Maclin Vestor

Many good trading systems use multiple exit strategies. In normal trading system, you need to know when to exit from a gain, and when to exit from a loss. Generally you want to be cutting your profits short, and letting your profits run. At a minimum, you generally want nearly a 3:1 gain to loss. This means you should take profits at 3 times the percentage amount as you cut your losses short. We will use this system and do the following

1) Exit stop at a 7% loss. This stop-loss should sell ALL of your shares. The simple method is to just set the stop and leave it. There are dangers of this because people may be able to see someone make the stop order on the floor, and if they have enough money, they can take advantage of that, selling lots of shares of the stock, pushing the stock price down below the stop, then forcing you and others who may have stops out, and then buying the stock below your price, so the stock will stop out, and then quickly rebound. The more advanced mode is to just watch it, and if it is going to CLOSE below your stop, only then will you exit 10 minutes or so before the markets close. The sophisticated way is to just not use stops, and instead buy puts. this increases the cost of the investment and thus limits your win, but you give up a fixed amount for protection against large losses.. This would insure that the stock doesn't drop overnight. A failed breakout is signaled if a stock drops 7% below breakout point. If you are buying stocks on the pullbacks, a 7% drop should signify a breaking of support.

2) Set a profit target at 20%. You can use a limit sell order to sell here if you would like, particularly for those who don't have the time to watch the stock. You should be willing to wait a full 4 months for it to hit it's target. If it hits the target, you should sell 1/2 to 2/3rds of your shares, and let the rest ride. Also, if your stock hits the price target within 8 weeks (2 months), this signals that your stock is a good one, and you want to hold onto your winners. There is a simple strategy and a sophisticated strategy. The simple strategy is to hold onto your stock until the entire 8 weeks is up. The sophisticated strategy is to sell most or all of your shares, and convert them to an option that you should own at strike price, or very close to it. You should ensure that this transaction is such that in a worst case scenario, you still will have a 5% gain. Generally, you will own say 100shares, sell 100, and buy 1 call contract at the same strike price the stock is at, and secure a profit, while still maintaining the same upside leverage minus the cost of the option and the transaction.

3) Set a trailing stop of 25%. This should serve as a function primarily to exit the remaining 1/3rd to 1/2 of shares that you let ride after you hit your price target of 20%. It is possible that the stock goes up near your target, which will raise this stop to 5% below where you bought it, or if you aren't using a limit sell, it could spike way up to up 35% from where you buy it, and then quickly come down, and sell out a small portion of your shares for a small gain. This is fine. In this case, either the stock will then proceed to drop below your buy point and go and hit the 7% stop-loss, or it will then bounce and gain until it hits your 20% target. In either case, you will sell the rest of your shares. Of course, if this all happens in a short amount of time, you may attempt a swap as a sophisticated strategy, but generally you should be done with it.

4) You should always keep records. Record how many you bought at what price and which exit(s) were triggered. You want to check all these stocks in a year, or so, and see if you could have made more by adjusting your stops, or adjusting the size of which you sell.

5) Enjoy the profits.

If you are a good system trader, you will make sure that they trading system you use has an excellent exit strategy. At System Trading|Stocks Trading Systems you will learn that an exit strategy will allow you make sure that you have a trading system with greater returns on your average gains than you have losses on your average losses. This is only one small aspect of a trading system but it is a very important one. In fact, your exit strategy will be vital in determining how much capital you allocate when managing your money in a trading system.

In addition, if you can find a stock selection vehicle in combination with a good exit strategy, it will insure that any given investment has a positive expected value. In other words, with a good exit strategy and stock selection that picks winners often enough, you will win more than you lose, provided you manage your money right. Learn these tips as a system trader, and you stand a much better chance at being a profitable trader than someone who does not understand the importance of a good exit strategy within a trading system. - 23309

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Buying Dubai Real Estate

By Mohamed Whitesnow

The real estate sector in Dubai is showing great prospects and today it would be a wise decision to purchase properties in Dubai. The value of real estate is increasing gradually in Dubai due to the high tourist footfall and Dubai becoming one of the most important trading and holidaying destination of the world. The rental expectancies of a property in Dubai are high as well, with a steady growth, that is coming to be an important reason for many to own Dubai properties.

By existing as one of the swiftest evolving towns on the planet Dubai has become a brilliant prospect for starting a business in the industry of real estate. It is among the key holidaying locations for tourists from the entire world, especially for those who feel that money is not a burden. This is the explanation for the sudden increase in the real estate business in Dubai with attractive sites being chased after hotel and resort construction. If you are adept to pay money for property in Dubai you will have the opportunity to earn a lot of money.

Due to the huge demand of Dubai property, the prices have increase tremendously with overpricing of property becoming one of the major issues. The properties market of Dubai has not been able to solve the problem of deficiency of supply in comparison to the huge demand that is there in the market. Thus, before you plan to buy a real estate in Dubai, do look for some help from professionals to understand the correct value and growth prospective of such real estate. Without proper professional help, you may end up buying something with an overrated price and low future potential.

There is a huge imbalance when comparing the supply of houses and apartments in Dubai. The Dubai real estate division has not been able to meet up to the demand of the number of villas in comparison to the availability of the apartments. The square footage area and the facilities are the main reason why construction corporations are more attracted by high-rise apartment buildings rather than the villas.

If you are intending on property investment then you could opt for the Jumeirah Beach Residence as an estate for investment in Dubai. It is one of the biggest in size places to live and property used for business purposes as a venture of the globe with that cost up to of approximately 1.2 billion Euros. There are many those buildings that run as hotels around the place yet investing a substantial amount in JBR is among the best decisions to take as far as investing in property is concerned in Dubai. Looking at it as Gross Domestic Product, the business of building houses and the market for developing real estate in Dubai has portrayed immense development in a couple of years and it seems like it will improve further.

Currently the amount of money made from leasing is around 7 to 11% of the cost of the land. Thus you can absolutely propose that the real estate sector of Dubai has huge hopes, you can by seeking the help of those available experts in Dubai who work with realty and other such property investments you too can invest in some high rising apartment in Dubai. You can also research on your own the kind of property market about the home prices by browsing through the internet and thus decide on your perfect asset investment.

You can easily afford the high-rise apartments of Dubai and it is great investment in the Dubai properties. If you are able to utilize this asset properly you will find that it is quite profitable. The income from letting high-rise apartments is quite high and you will be making huge profits from the investment of yours. To understand the value and prospects of type of property you must consult professionals, preferably real estate lawyers and reputed agents to find out the possible benefits and profits that you are going to get form this real estate property in Dubai.

Always be careful about the community area in which you are acquiring your home in Dubai will surely develop in value. The cost of the land will absolutely multiply for a flat or villa if it is conveniently located near to a busy public area such as where people come to shop or a leisure area like a hotel. The industry of property is a intelligent choice for investment. Even if you are owning the home with assistance of a loan from somewhere the amount that you will receive as a result of leases for your asset will be quite enough for it to be repaid you will soon see that you are making quite a sum of profit from the property.

There is one more crucial thing you should be aware of. The prices on real estate in Dubai have dropped slightly due to the worldwide financial depression. But economists say that fall 2009 will stabilize the situation making it a good period to purchase Dubai property. - 23309

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What Is Decreased Volatility Breakout? (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

Trading breakouts is one of the most popular ways of making pips from the forex market. Decreased volatility breakout is one of the subsets of breakout trading. While this strategy is similar to the strategy of trading breakouts, but it is specific to a certain conditions in the forex market.

Volatility tends to be high when prices change to a large extent within a short span of time. Volatility is a measure of the scale of price fluctuations over time. The reverse also holds when prices oscillate more or less close to a certain price level without deviating much from it over a long span of time, the volatility tends to be low during such periods.

Entering the forex market in periods of high volatility can be stressful for most of the traders as they dont know whether the trade will go their way or not. However, it is the periods of high volatility that lets traders make pips and it is the volatile nature of the forex market that attracts the risk seekers in search of high returns. Have you ever thought; why not concentrate on the low volatility period instead of focusing on the high volatility market.

Forex market is just people trying to buy or sell currencies. It is the psychology of the crowd that rules the market in the end. There is a tendency in the currency prices to alternate between periods of high volatility and low volatility in the forex market just like other financial markets. This recurrent pattern is due to the crowd psychology which is the force behind changes in the forex market.

You must understand how trend is developed in the currency market and how the crowd psychology affects the different phases of the trend. There are four main stages of a trend and there is a different crowd psychology behind each stage of the trend. These four stages are: 1) Nascent Trend, 2) Fully Charged Trend, 3) Aging Trend and 4) End of Trend. These four stages are closely linked to the cycle of volatility in the market. Lets discuss these stages of a trend in detail.

First Stage-Nascent Trend: Most market players are still skeptical about the possible new trend direction during the nascent stage of the trend. In the beginning when the new trend just starts either upside or downside, volatility is low as both bears and bulls tread carefully and are cautious. Nothing is clear at this nascent stage of the trend when it is forming. Market players are trying to confirm or deny the start of a new trend. So everyone is cautious whether the new trend will continue or it will fizzle out.

Fully Charged Trend: When the trend progresses, it becomes fully charged as there is now evidence from fundamental data that supports the trend direction! It is time for more action now. Traders who are caught on the opposite side of the market become exposed when the new information proves them wrong.

A lot of changing positions will take place during this period. Traders who were initially on the wrong side of the market become new converts to the trend. This causes the currency prices to move more dramatically within that stage.

Traders become convinced of the direction of the trend and new information convinces most of the traders of the direction of the trend. Everyone wants to jump in the trend. More and more positions are established. Hence volatility tends to be high during this period. This brings prices to higher highs in an uptrend or lower lows in a down trend. - 23309

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Littleton Realtors and the Steady Growth of the Littleton Real Estate Market

By Michael Canon

The real estate market in Denver Colorado has been exceeding growth expectations and is much higher than the national average. This is due to the fact that Denver is able to find a home to fit any budget. Littleton realtors have also seen an increase in the local real estate market of their town. Many homes in the area have not lost nearly as much value as in other places across the country. Also the market has been rather stable and interest rates are reasonable. For those looking for a new home they may want to consider the Littleton area.

Littleton realtors will boast that the community is only twenty minutes from downtown which helps to make the community a desirable one. Highway 85 and Interstate 25 are both close to the city. Littleton is a small city that is in the greater Denver Metropolitan area. Littleton offers shopping places as well as a historic area downtown that many residents visit often. The city also offers many stores that are smaller family owned stores and restaurants. The smaller stores help keep the local community thriving by keeping the money in the area.

Also located close to downtown is the Littleton Historical Museum that houses some of the best attractions. The residents will often visit the museum to see these exhibits. The living history farm is just one example of an exhibit that is related to the city's history. They have setup this exhibit to resemble a farm from the 1860's.

Hiking trails and a recreational center are just a couple of the attractions that have been setup by the city for residents to enjoy. Residents also find the golf courses and playgrounds to be good spots to enjoy family time.

Littleton is a convenient city for anyone who wants to live in the Denver area to live in. The city also offers the Lightrail as a form of transportation for its residents. This public transportation system gives residents easy access to downtown. You may find Littleton realtors boasting the Lightrail as it is a special feature of the area.

There are various prices of homes to fit your budget that Littleton realtors will help you with. Condos and houses in Littleton can range from $100,000 to homes over $3 million. Condos actually range from $55,000 to about $1.1 million. The average price for a condo in Littleton is $198,000. Homes in Littleton range from $90,000 to $4 million. Even with this wide range of prices the average home is $354,000. If you're looking for land to build a home on you can find land that ranges from $50,000 all the way up to $3.5 million.

Littleton realtors have noticed that the sales of homes has been averaging out to about 2,600 a quarter and have been steady. The steady sales also show that the Littleton real estate market has been steady with no huge gains or losses. Littleton realtors will be able to help you find a home to fit your budget in this stable and desirable community. - 23309

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Stock Market Report: Low Down Tricks Of Professional Traders

By Steve Wyzeck

Unleashed on the individual trader for the first time...if you keep getting sniped by false breakouts in the stock market and are losing money, this article could change your stock trading forever...

This behind closed doors secret about institutional traders will save you from being ambushed. This secret has saved me thousands of dollars and now I'm breaking my silence to show you how to do the same.

Institutional traders use dirty tactics in the stock market that are so bad, they should be illegal.

It might get you angry.

It may even make you want to close this page and forget you saw it...

Read this entire article...

And you will be happy you did.

Because by the time you finish this article you'll have a whole new method for avoiding false breakouts...

We need to look at what support and resistance lines are and they what false breakouts are.

Seeing why support lines and resistance lines form will help you learn how to better protect yourself against false breakouts.

When most traders buy and sell, they make an emotional commitment to their trade. Their emotions can keep a market trend going, or send it into a reversal.

When a stock falls, some traders jump out and book profits, some traders jump out and take losses, and some traders hold on.

What you see on a chart is the emotional commitment, or lack thereof, coming from the crowd that is trading that stock.

Pain Is the #1 Reason Why Support and Resistance Lines Form

If someone trading a stock is still holding that stock when the price finally comes back to their cost basis, they are likely going to sell. It is painful to be in this stock and the trader simply wants to get out. This pain relief will temporarily stop a rally. These painful memories are why support and resistance lines form.

I am going to give you an example so you can better comprehend what I am talking about here. Say a $40 stock sells off and falls to $35. It then stays at $35 for several weeks. Traders get confident that $35 is "the bottom" the longer this level holds. A trader finally buys the stock at $35. Right after buying, the stock drops to $32. Seasoned traders would have set their stop loss right under the $35 level and so would have exited around $34. Amateur traders will stay in their position refusing to take a loss. They will hold this losing position until the stock finally comes back to $35 where they entered. They eagerly jump at the chance to "get out even". This "get out even" selling will temporarily stall a rally and cause a resistance level to form.

Support and Resistance Lines Are Caused By Regret

Traders who discover a stock that has spiked up feel like they have "missed the gravy train". When the stock falls back to a certain level, the traders who felt regret at missing the first spike up are eager to jump in for a chance at a second spike up or upward move. Their buying forms a support level.

Take your stock chart and draw resistance and support lines at recent tops and bottoms. You should anticipate the trend to slow down at these levels. Use these support lines and resistance lines to either buy (at support) or to take profits (at resistance).

Institutional Traders Cause False Breakouts

A false breakout or false upside breakout is when the price breaks through resistance which causes buyers to come in, and then suddenly reverses and falls back down below the resistance breakout level.

A false downside breakout occurs when prices fall below support, attracting more bears just before a rally.

Stocks that have a high percentage of institutional ownership often form false breakouts.

False breakouts provide institutional traders with most of their best trading opportunities which is why institutional traders most often are the ones who cause these patterns to form in charts.

All limit orders are displayed on the screens of Institutional traders. They have the exact number of buy orders above a given resistance level.

Institutional traders have a secret practice they call "running the stops". A false breakout happens when institutions engage in hunting expeditions to run stops.

I will use an example so you can better understand what "running the stops" is. Let us say that a stock is below its resistance level at $10, the buy limit orders come flowing in near $8.50. Institutional traders can see these buy limit orders. They figure a calculation called the liquidity ratio which reveals how much a given stock will go up if all buy limit orders are executed at $8.50. They figure out that the stock will run to $11 if all the buy limit orders at $8.50 are executed. They then short the stock at $10 to force it down to $8.50 (they can do this because they have most of the money and can manipulate a market with their buying or selling power). At $8.50 they cover their short position and go long as the wave of buy orders are automatically executed pushing the stock up to $11. If greedy traders start piling in, the institutional trader will stay long the trade. As soon as the buy orders start drying up, they sell short and the price falls back below $10. That's when your chart shows a false upside breakout.

False breakouts will knock you out of a trade. But don't do what most amateur traders do which is to take a single run at a stock and once stopped out, go bipolar and say the stock is bad and never return. Obviously there was something you fundamentally liked about the stock in the first place and that has not changed. Professional traders will take several runs at a stock until finally nailing down the trade they want. - 23309

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