Saturday, September 12, 2009

Selection Criteria For The Right Forex Auto-Trading System

By Richard U. Olson

If you want to make money in the currency trading market while you work, sleep, even take a vacation, you are going to need automated Forex trading software. New technology has made this software which once cost thousands available for as little as $100! This software can be put to use instantly on trading platforms freely available from hundreds of online brokerages. You finally can trade on the Forex market even while you are nowhere near your computer. Automated Forex trading makes this possible and it is being adopted by novices and experienced traders alike.

What you can gain from automated Forex trading software?

- You can conduct trades around the clock using automated Forex trading robots; trades in all currency pairs in all of the world's important currency markets - something you could never do on your own.

- These trading robots can be had for under $100. There are a lot of automated Forex trading programs which integrate with the industry standard Meta Trader 4 platform used by Forex brokerages all over the world.

- Forex trading robots make trades based on mathematical modeling (Fibonacci formula) and previous market behavior, not emotional responses.

- You can test and configure Forex trading for optimal performance by using demo accounts before taking them into live trading using real money.

There are features which any automated Forex trading software you are considering should have. There's a lot of confusion out there about software, especially among new traders. You should never by automated Forex trading software which does not meet these 9 criteria:

1. The ability to give you an edge in trading through thorough analysis of current market conditions.

2. Mathematical modeling of market movements should be used (the Fibonacci formula) to make trades which have the best chances of being profitable.

3. The software must have an integrated money management system which will make the right decisions to make profitable trades for you, even when the market conditions are unfavorable.

4. The trading software should know precisely when to make trades in order to make you the maximum profit. It needs to be able to identify trends when looking at the big picture.

5. Automated Forex trading software should let you keep your position open for as long as you are still making money on your trades, as well as knowing when to close the deal to make you the largest possible profit.

6. Monitors currency pairs in multiple markets and keeps track of large amounts of trades over time to give you the big picture of the market trends

7. It has to work on the industry standard Meta Trader 4 platform.

8. The software is user-oriented and follows the "Keep it Simple Stupid" approach for effective and profitable trades.

9. The software must allow you to work with a demo account to make yourself familiar with the market and the software so you can fine tune your settings for optimal performance.

The automated Forex Trading software is for beginners in Forex trading and financial experts. Even though it does not requires you to have any trading experience or knowledge in the Forex market it is best to pick up some basics on Forex trading from the course at the link below. - 23309

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What Impacts the Price of a Stock? How Useful is Historical Data?

By Marv Doniger

There are a myriad of factors that are commonly used by investors to evaluate potential stock investments. These investment opportunities are often identified through the use of the numerous stock screeners that are readily available to investors. Common searches seek to identify companies that have a low Price Earnings, Price to Book Value, or Price to Cash Flow Ratio; high Dividend Yields; high Returns on Assets, Invested Capital, or Earnings; low Debt to Equity; and high Cash balances. In fact there are pre-defined stock screeners such as the Contrarian Strategy, Dogs of the Dow, Momentum Stocks, New 52-Week Highs, etc. that can be used to identify stocks in which to invest. The implicit assumption in using stock screeners is that there is a relationship between this data and the future performance of a stock. Should this assumption be valid then all one would have to do is run his/her magic screener and buy those stocks with his/her favorite criteria such as low Price Earnings Ratio and high Dividend Yield. In order to validate the premise that the data obtained from stock screeners influences the price of a company's stock, the change in the price of the Dow 30 Industrial stocks from 1999 to 2009 was compared to changes in the Returns they generated, their Financial Condition and Performance over that same time period. Returns included Returns on Equity, Invested Capital and Assets as well as Dividends paid to investors. Financial Condition included Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, along with Interest Coverage and Dividend Coverage. Performance included Sales, Earnings, Book Value and Cash Flow trends. A correlation analysis was conducted to determine the relationship of the price of each of the companies comprising the Dow Industrials and these factors. The hypothesis being that there was a statistically valid relationship between these factors.

As the following chart shows, dividends had a statistically significant impact on the change in the price of the stock of Exxon Mobil, Hewlett-Packard, Merck, and Verizon. It had a moderate impact on the price of the stock of Alcoa, Bank of America, DuPont, General Electric and JP Morgan Chase. Earnings had a strong impact on the price of Citigroup's and Exxon Mobil's stock. The stock price of Caterpillar, Chevron, Johnson & Johnson, McDonalds, Proctor & Gamble, and United Technologies was moderately impacted by earnings. Price changes in the stock of Exxon Mobil were statistically significantly impacted by its Dividends, Cash, Earnings, Book Value and Cash Flow and moderately impacted by its Return on Invested Capital, Dividend Coverage and Sales. Another company whose price movement could be partially explained by change in these factors is Caterpillar. There were moderately statistically significant relationships between its price and its Returns on Equity, Investment and Assets; its Interest and Dividend Coverage; as well as its Earnings and Cash Flow. Perhaps one of the most astonishing results is that there were no statistically meaningful relationships between the changes in the price of the stocks of 3M, American Express, AT&T, Boeing, Intel, IBM, Kraft, Microsoft, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, Home Depot, and Wal-Mart and the measures of Returns, Financial Condition, and Performance used in the analysis. To put it another way, the price movement of 40 percent of the Dow Industrials bore no statistically meaningful relationship to changes in these factors.

FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK PRICE of DOW 30 INDUSTRIALS RETURNS FINANCIAL CONDITION PERFORMANCE Dow 30 Components Company Equity Invested Capital Assets Dividends Current Ratio Debt to Equity Interest Coverage Dividend Coverage Cash Sales Earnings Book Value Cash Flow 3m Co Alcoa Inc ● American Express Company, AT&T Inc. Bank of America Corporation ● Boeing Co., Caterpillar Inc. ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Chevron Corp ●● ● ● ●● ● Citigroup, Inc. ●● ● E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co ● Exxon Mobil Corp ● ●● ● ●● ● ●● ●● ●● General Electric Company ● General Motors Corporation ● Hewlett-Packard Co. ●● ● Intel Corporation International Business Machines Johnson & Johnson ● ● ● JP Morgan & Chase & Co ● Kraft Foods Inc. McDonald's Corporation ● ● Merck & Co., Inc. ●● Microsoft Corporation, Pfizer Inc, The Coca-Cola Company, The Home Depot, Inc. The Procter & Gamble Company ● ● ● ●● United Technologies Corporation ● ● ● Verizon Communications ●● Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Impact ● Moderate ●● Significant Data Standard & Poor's

Based on the previous examination of the relationships between the price of the Dow Industrials stocks and certain measurements of their historical data, it should be apparent that stock screeners, in and of themselves, are not sufficient tools to use in selecting potential stock investments. Even if there were statistically significant relationships between the historical price movement and the data used in the stock screener, it does not mean that those relationships would continue in the future. Wall Street constantly warns that past performance is not indicative of future results, yet investors search the past to divine the future. It is like driving in traffic by looking through the rear view mirror and missing the collision ahead that is about to happen. As events of the past eighteen months have proven, highly improbable events can occur and inflict unforeseen casualties on investors. Since equity markets are supposedly discounting future events, investors should look through the windshield to see what is ahead of them and use the rear view mirror to see if the vehicle behind them has any relevance to their ultimate destination.

Marvin Doniger, Managing Partner of Doniger & Associates, is the author of A Common Sense Road Map to Uncommon Wealth, which is a treatise on managing careers and finances. His perspectives have been developed from his lifelong study of investing, his actual experiences as a registered representative, an individual investor, as well as from working for large companies in industry and as a management consultant to Fortune 500 companies. He is a leader in his industry. - 23309

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Can You Invest Like Warren Buffett

By Mike Swanson

World wide the Warren Buffett strategy is known for being very successful in stock picks. His value investment philosophy is from the Benjamin Graham school, and in 1965 he invested $10000 in Berkshire Hathaway. Today this investment is worth nearly $30 million! Had he taken the same amount of money and invested it in the "S & P 500" it would have grown, however the same investment would only be worth around $500 000.

This legendary investor who has his head screwed on right has become a myth in his lifetime. He is something of a bargain hunter and he pursues bargains as part of his value investment philosophy, which sees him buying stocks that other investors overlook. It is as though he can see something in under-valued stocks that other people don't see.

Value investors are able to identify securities with unjustifiably low intrinsic worth. This intrinsic worth is predicted by analyzing the fundamentals of a company and this is not seen by the majority of buyers. Warren Buffett essentially trusts that the market will eventually favor the stock he invests in.

He is not concerned with facts such as supply and demand. This is normally what controls markets, but Warren Buffett is not looking for short term gains, he is looking for long term, return on investment. The quote that best describes the way he thinks is: "In the short term the market is a popularity contest; in the long term it is a weighing machine".

Warren Buffett chooses stocks based on the overall potential of a company to make money as a long term prospect. Capital gain is not what he seeks and all the concerns he has are based on whether or not the company he targets is able to make money.

There are a number of questions he asks himself when evaluating the relationship between the price and the level of excellence of a stock. These include but are not limited to the return on equity in terms of performance, whether the business avoids excess debt, if the profit margins are high and are they increasing, how long it has been a public company and whether the company relies on a commodity for its products. - 23309

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Finding Buyers For REO Deals

By Jerome Pennix

The procedure is a tedious one after a home is foreclosed by the bank. The mortgage companies take weeks if not months after foreclosure to get their paperwork done, do evictions and minor repairs and make the assignments to the real estate brokers who they have hired to sell their properties. But the time of clean up and eviction is not a concern for the savvy investor, it is an opportunity to get buyers so that these houses sell almost immediately as you get them under contract.

REOGoldMiner.com is the premier site to find and valuate these REO properties. In order to change these deals into profits, we suggest an investor start the steps of rounding up buyers as soon as the property is under contract. Videos, photos and massive email lists are several ways to bring your potential buyers.

Whenever you advertise your properties use photos or better yet video. Ill get to more video in a minute. This tends to get the buyer serious before they visit the property. Even for buyers of a 100K home, they like to see pictures and it helps the buyer make an emotional connection. Investors and the individual buyer now search the internet to find homes that they can get serious about buying. It is very important to give them enough information to make a decision.

Another effective tool REOGoldMiner.com recommends is videoing the house. Taking video has expanded on the process for purchasers when they are searching the internet. If you can show the buyer the house in detail by exposing the floor plan that photos can not, then the buyer can form a more qualified opinion on what they need to examine when they visit the property to make the decision process of a yes or no quicker. Video on the web is the newest, latest and greatest mode of advertising your houses for sale.

Finally, collecting a list of potential buyers is also another must in the world of REO houses. Creating the action before the house sits on the market for an extended amount of time is powerful for the REO investor. If you consider about 10 years ago in real estate, buyers came to real estate brokers to see what they had listed. Many buyers still do the same thing even though they have access to the web and the inventory. But, if you have a list already collected of potential buyers it will help your house sell much quicker. - 23309

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Protect Your Investment Property"Conduct Move-In Reports

By Dana Powell

When the time comes for your tenant to move out of your rental property, you will need to be prepared to complete a security deposit reconciliation; which is when you compare how the tenant left the residence versus the condition it was rented to them in.

That is where the move-in report comes into play. Having a detailed move-in report will save you in the long run. You will have written documentation to hold the tenant accountable to.

Don't be too hasty when performing the move-in. A little time allotted for precise and meticulous documentation, will go a long way in the end.

When conducting the move-in, it is best to start in one room of the house and move fluidly throughout the home. Often times it will be the living room, because it is typically the first room you enter. Remember the more detailed the better. Marking the living room as good just will not cut it.

Start from the ceiling and work your way down to the floors. Are there hooks or cracks in the ceiling? Is the popcorn crumbling in some areas? Check to see if the ceiling fan works properly. Make sure all the lights are all working properly

As soon as you finish one area (ceiling, walls, ceiling fans, etc.) move on to the next. Does the room have a sliding glass door? Is it in proper working order? Are there any blinds or drapes? Is the screen door free from dents or holes?

Now continue on this path throughout the house, make sure to check all the bedrooms, bathrooms, kitchen, dining room or area. Don't forget basements, garages, and utility or laundry rooms as well.

The exterior of the home often gets over looked but it is imperative that the exterior condition gets acknowledged. They say a picture is worth a thousand words; as such, it is a tool that a savvy landlord would be wise to implement; during all move- in and move out reports.

Allow your tenant to review the move-in report; answer any questions they may have. Arrange for convenient times to make any repairs that may have arisen during the move-in. Have your new tenant sign and date the report with the understanding that this IS the move-in condition. Mail or give them a copy of the report, and allow them three to seven days to make notes of anything else they may find needs documentation.

Hopefully you can see why conducting a complete and comprehensive move-in report really is crucial. You wont mistakenly charge your tenant for damage that was already present; and you wont have to bear the costs of any new damage when they leave. - 23309

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